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&nbsp;\u57282001\u5e74\u7684\u4e0a\u6d77APEC\u6703\u8b70\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u734e\u5f97\u4e3b\u3001\u88ab\u8b7d\u70ba\u201c\u6b50\u5143\u4e4b\u7236\u201d\u7684\u7f85\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u8499\u4ee3\u723e\uff08Roberta Mundell\uff09\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u4e16\u754c\u8ca8\u5e63\u683c\u5c40\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u4ed6\u9810\u8a00\uff1a\u201c\u672a\u4f8610\u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u4e09\u5927\u8ca8\u5e63\u5340\uff0c\u5373\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u5340\u548c\u4e9e\u6d32 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\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u201d\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u97d3\u3001\u4e2d\u3001\u65e5\u4ee5\u53ca\u6771\u76df(ASEAN)\u5341\u570b\u7b49\u5341\u4e09\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u5167\u4f7f\u7528\u3002&nbsp;\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u201d\u4e0d\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7576\u5834\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5be6\u7269\u7d19\u5e63\u6216\u9285\u9322\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u6839\u64da\u4e9e\u6d32\u5341\u4e09\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca8\u5e63\u50f9\u503c\u3001\u5404\u570b\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u7e3d\u503c(GDP)\u53ca\u8cbf\u6613\u898f\u6a21\u7b49\u7684\u52a0\u6b0a\u503c\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u865b\u64ec\u8ca8\u5e63\u3002\u4e9e\u6d32\u958b\u767c\u9280\u884c\u5c07\u6838\u5b9a\u4e9e\u5143\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u6b50\u5143\u7684\u532f\u7387\uff0c\u4e26\u901a\u904e\u7db2\u7ad9\u5c0d\u5916\u516c\u4f48\u3002&nbsp;\u4e9e\u5143\u662f\u5be6\u73fe\u4e9e\u6d32\u5171\u540c\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u70ba\u5404\u570b\u5236\u5b9a\u532f\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u6642\u7684\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\u3002\u5728\u5236\u5b9a\u4e9e\u6d32\u5171\u540c\u8ca8\u5e63\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u97d3\u4e2d\u65e5\u7b49\u4e9e\u6d32\u4e3b\u8981\u570b\u5bb6\u653f\u5e9c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6301\u8d0a\u6210\u610f\u898b\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5c31\u4e9e\u5143\u80fd\u50cf\u6b50\u5143\u4e00\u6a23\u901a\u7528\u7684\u5177\u9ad4\u8a08\u756b\u9054\u6210\u4e86\u5354\u5b9a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e9e\u5143\u4f5c\u70ba\u5be6\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u5c07\u5206\u70ba\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u6b50\u5143\u548c\u4e9e\u5143\u7b49\u4e09\u6975\u8ca8\u5e63\u5708\u3002\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u201d\u7684\u8a95\u751f\u9084\u610f\u5473\u8457\u4e9e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u9762\u5c0d\u8d70\u5411\u5340\u57df\u5316\u7684\u7f8e\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u5340\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u5340\u5be6\u73fe\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e00\u9ad4\u5316\u3002&nbsp;\u201c\u4e00\u76f4\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u52aa\u529b\u60f3\u8981\u4f7f\u4eba\u6c11\u5e63\u548c\u65e5\u5713\u6210\u70ba\u4ee3\u8868\u4e9e\u6d32\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\uff0c\u4f46\u96d9\u65b9\u4e92\u4e0d\u8b93\u6b65\uff0c\u4f7f\u6b64\u4e8b\u9762\u81e8\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u5c07\u4e9e\u5143\u7576\u4f5c\u4e9e\u6d32\u5171\u540c\u8ca8\u5e63\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u6709\u529b\u652f\u6301\u3002\u201d&nbsp;\u5f9e\u6b50\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u958b\u59cb\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5171\u540c\u8ca8\u5e63\u554f\u984c\u5230\u6b50\u5143\u7684\u8a95\u751f\uff0c\u7d93\u6b77\u4e86\u4e09\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u6642\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u4e9e\u6d32\u5404\u570b\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u589e\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u66f4\u5feb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u9810\u8a08\uff0c\u4e9e\u5143\u7684\u8a95\u751f\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6bd4\u9810\u60f3\u66f4\u5feb\u5be6\u73fe\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u969c\u7919\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u7f8e\u570b\u64d4\u5fc3\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u5340\u5167\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u524a\u5f31\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u901a\u904e\u570b\u969b\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54(IMF)\u7b49\u9032\u884c\u727d\u5236\u3002\u8ca1\u7d93\u90e8\u6709\u95dc\u4eba\u58eb\u8aaa\uff1a\u201c\u65e8\u5728\u5354\u8abf\u4e9e\u6d32\u5730\u5340\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4e9e\u6d32\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7d44\u7e54(AMF)\u7684\u8a95\u751f\u4e5f\u56e0\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u53cd\u5c0d\u9762\u81e8\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u4e26\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u4e16\u754c\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u51fa\u73fe\u7f8e\u5143\u3001\u6b50\u5143\u548c\u4e9e\u6d32\u5708\u7684\u4e09\u6975\u5316\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u201d&nbsp; &nbsp;\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u201d\u8d70\u904e\u7684\u6b77\u7a0b 1997\u5e74\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5efa\u7acb\u4e9e\u6d32\u8ca8\u5e63\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u8a2d\u60f3\uff0c\u4e26\u627f\u8afe\u70ba\u9019\u4e00\u57fa\u790e\u63d0\u4f9b1000\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u3002\u5728\u540c\u5e74\u7684\u6771\u76df\u570b\u5bb6\u9996\u8166\u6703\u8b70\u4e0a\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u5404\u570b\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6771\u76df\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u5f9e\u6771\u5357\u4e9e\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u6559\u8a13\uff0c\u99ac\u4f86\u897f\u4e9e\u7e3d\u7406\u99ac\u54c8\u8482\u723e\u6700\u65e9\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u5340\u201d\u8a2d\u60f3\u3002&nbsp; 2000\u5e745\u6708\u4e9e\u6d32\u958b\u767c\u9280\u884c\u5e74\u6703\u4e0a\uff0c\u5404\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u90e8\u9577\u5728\u6cf0\u570b\u6e05\u9081\u7c3d\u8a02\u4e86\u201c\u6e05\u9081\u5354\u8b70\u201d\uff0c\u5354\u5546\u901a\u904e\u4e86\u5c07\u6771\u76df\u6210\u54e1\u570b\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e92\u63db\u5354\u8b70\u7bc4\u570d\u64f4\u5c55\u5230\u4e2d\u570b\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u97d3\u570b\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5408\u4f5c\u689d\u6b3e\u3002&nbsp;&nbsp;2001 \u5e74\u4e0a\u6d77APEC\u6703\u8b70\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u201c\u6b50\u5143\u4e4b\u7236\u201d\u8499\u4ee3\u723e\uff08Robert A. Mundell\uff09\u767c\u8868\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u5c0d\u672a\u4f86\u4e16\u754c\u8ca8\u5e63\u683c\u5c40\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff1a\u201c\u4e16\u754c\u5c07\u51fa\u73fe\u4e09\u5927\u8ca8\u5e63\u5340\uff0c\u5373\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u5340\u548c\u4e9e\u6d32\u8ca8\u5e63\u5340\uff08\u4e9e\u5143\u5340\uff09\u3002\u201d2003\u5e74\u8499\u4ee3\u723e\u5efa\u8b70\uff0c\u8a2d\u7acb\u7531\u4e9e\u6d32\u5730\u5340\u67d0\u4e00\u7d44\u8ca8\u5e63\u7d44\u6210\u7684\u5171\u540c\u8ca8\u5e63\uff0c\u722d\u53d6\u5728\u6bcf\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u4e0d\u653e\u68c4\u672c\u5e63\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u80fd\u8b93\u4e00\u7a2e\u53eb\u505a\u201c\u4e9e\u5143\u201d\u7684\u5340\u57df\u6027\u8ca8\u5e63\u5728\u4e9e\u6d32\u6d41\u901a\u3002\u9019\u500b\u5efa\u8b70\u7372\u5f97\u8a31\u591a\u4e9e\u6d32\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7a4d\u6975\u56de\u61c9\u3002 2002\u5e7411\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u6771\u76df\u5341\u570b\u5728\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\u9996\u90fd\u91d1\u908a\u7c3d\u7f72\u4e86\u300a\u4e2d\u570b-\u6771\u76df\u5168\u9762\u7d93\u6fdf\u5408\u4f5c\u6846\u67b6\u5354\u8b70\u300b\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u9054\u6210\u6642\u9593\u8868\u898f\u5b9a\uff0c2010\u5e74\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u6771\u76df\u8001\u6210\u54e1\uff0c\u5373\u6c76\u840a\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u3001\u99ac\u4f86\u897f\u4e9e\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u8cd3\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u548c\u6cf0\u570b\uff0c\u5c07\u5efa\u6210\u81ea\u8cbf\u5340\uff0c2015\u5e74\u548c\u6771\u76df\u65b0\u6210\u54e1\uff0c\u5373\u8d8a\u5357\u3001\u8001\u64be\u3001\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\u548c\u7dec\u7538\uff0c\u5c07\u5efa\u6210\u81ea\u8cbf\u5340\uff0c\u5c46\u6642\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u6771\u76df\u7684\u7d55\u5927\u591a\u6578\u7522\u54c1\u5c07\u5be6\u884c\u96f6\u95dc\u7a05\uff0c\u96d9\u65b9\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u5c07\u5be6\u73fe\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u3002\u8a72\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5340\u6db5\u84cb\u903e18\u5104\u4eba\u53e3\uff0cGDP\u7e3d\u91cf\u8fd14\u842c\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9762\u7a4d\u7d04 1400\u842c\u5e73\u65b9\u516c\u91cc\uff0c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7531\u767c\u5c55\u4e2d\u570b\u5bb6\u7d44\u6210\u7684\u6700\u5927\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8cbf\u6613\u5340\uff0c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u6700\u5feb\u3001\u6700\u5177\u7d93\u6fdf\u6f5b\u529b\u548c\u767c\u5c55\u6d3b\u529b\u7684\u5730\u5340\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 \u9019\u7121\u7591\u70ba\u4e9e\u5143\u7684\u555f\u52d5\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u6709\u5229\u7684\u689d\u4ef6\u3002&nbsp; 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